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Updated 1s agoPolymarket14 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi25 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 5Kalshi only · 16
#2 Spotify Song 2026
Updated 1s agoPolymarket14 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $92.6KLiquidity $24.7KEnds Feb 1
Kalshi25 catalog outcomesOpen#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
Volume $31.3KOpen interest $15.9KEnds Dec 31
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: 2-spotify-song-2026-20260729214346464
will-aptpt-rose-bruno-mars-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328821
will-babydoll-dominic-fike-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328817
will-beauty-and-a-beat-justin-bieber-nicki-minaj-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328827
will-billie-jean-michael-jackson-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328826
will-dai-dai-shakira-burna-boy-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328829
will-die-with-a-smile-lady-gaga-bruno-mars-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328819
will-drop-dead-olivia-rodrigo-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328822
will-end-of-beginning-djo-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328816
will-hate-that-i-made-you-love-me-ariana-grande-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328828
will-man-i-need-olivia-dean-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328824
will-risk-it-all-bruno-mars-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328820
will-stateside-pinkpantheress-zara-larsson-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328823
will-stupid-song-olivia-rodrigo-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328818
will-swim-bts-be-the-2-song-for-2026-20260729205328825
Kalshi
Market: KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-APT
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-BAB
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-BAC
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-BEA
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-BIL
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-BIR
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-DIE
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-DON
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-DRO
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-DTMF
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-END
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-GOL
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-HAT
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-MANI
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-MAN
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-ORD
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-RAI
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-SEL
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-SOE
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-SOD
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-STA
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-STU
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-SWIM
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-CUR
KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-YOU
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | 17.0% | 16.0% | +1.5 | |
| 0.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | −2.7 | |
| 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | −0.7 | |
| 0.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | −1.7 | |
| 0.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | −3.2 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.5 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | −1.4 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | −1.4 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | −1.4 |
Polymarket only · 5APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno MarsBabydoll – Dominic FikeDai Dai – Shakira & Burna BoyDie With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno MarsRisk It All – Bruno Mars
Kalshi only · 16APT.Babydollback to friendsBIRDS OF A FEATHERDie With A SmileDon’t Say You Love MeDtMFGolden
Probability chart · End of Beginning – Djo
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