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Updated 1s agoPolymarket23 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 21
2026 California Governor Election
Updated 1s agoPolymarket23 catalog outcomesOpenCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Volume $41.67MLiquidity $7.06MEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenCalifornia Governor winner? (Person)
Volume $16.21MOpen interest $7.47MEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: california-governor-election-2026
will-alex-padilla-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-antonio-villaraigosa-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-betty-yee-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-butch-ware-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-chad-bianco-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-daniel-mercuri-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-elaine-culotti-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-eleni-kounalakis-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-eric-swalwell-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-kamala-harris-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-katie-porter-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-kyle-langford-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-leo-zacky-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-matt-mahan-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-michael-younger-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-nicole-shanahan-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-rick-caruso-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-stephen-cloobeck-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-steve-hilton-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-tom-steyer-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-toni-atkins-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-tony-thurmond-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
will-xavier-becerra-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: KXGOVCA-26
KXGOVCA-26-SHIL
KXGOVCA-26-XBEC
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.0% | 96.4% | 96.3% | −0.5 | |
| 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | +0.7 |
Polymarket only · 21Alex PadillaAntonio VillaraigosaBetty YeeButch WareChad BiancoDaniel MercuriElaine CulottiEleni Kounalakis
Probability chart · Xavier Becerra
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