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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $47.5KLiquidity $63.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenMontgomery County, TX Judge winner?
Volume $13.6KOpen interest $9.2KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: 2026-montgomery-county-judge-election-winner-20260626004629130
will-james-graf-win-the-2026-montgomery-county-judge-election-20260626004629132
will-mark-keough-win-the-2026-montgomery-county-judge-election-20260626004629131
Kalshi
Market: KXMONTGOMERYCOUNTYJUDGE-26
KXMONTGOMERYCOUNTYJUDGE-26-JGRA
KXMONTGOMERYCOUNTYJUDGE-26-MKEO
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.8% | 94.5% | 95.0% | +1.3 | |
| 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | +1.1 |
Probability chart · Mark Keough
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