← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket46 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi23 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 24Kalshi only · 1
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket46 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $499.7KLiquidity $590.6KEnds Jul 1
Kalshi23 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $21.3KOpen interest $12.1KEnds Jun 30
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: 2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot
will-bally-bagayoko-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-bernard-cazeneuve-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-bruno-retailleau-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-carole-delga-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-clmentine-autain-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-david-lisnard-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-delphine-batho-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-dominique-de-villepin-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-fabien-roussel-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-franois-asselineau-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-franois-bayrou-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-franois-hollande-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-franois-ruffin-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-gabriel-attal-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-grald-darmanin-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-jean-castex-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-jean-luc-mlenchon-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-jean-michel-fauvergue-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-jordan-bardella-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-juan-branco-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-jrme-guedj-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-karim-bouamrane-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-laurent-wauquiez-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-manuel-bompard-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-manuel-valls-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-marine-le-pen-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-marine-tondelier-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-mathilde-panot-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-matthieu-pigasse-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-michel-barnier-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-michel-edouard-leclerc-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-nathalie-arthaud-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-nicolas-dupont-aignan-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-olivier-faure-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-philippe-de-villiers-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-raphal-glucksmann-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-sarah-knafo-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-sbastien-lecornu-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-sgolne-royal-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-teddy-riner-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-valrie-pcresse-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-xavier-bertrand-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-yal-braun-pivet-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-douard-philippe-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-lisabeth-borne-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
will-ric-zemmour-be-on-the-ballot-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election
Kalshi
Market: KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-BCAZ
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-BRET
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-CAUT
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-DVIL
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-FROU
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-FASS
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-FHOL
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-FRUF
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-GATT
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-GDAR
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JLAS
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JMEL
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JBAR
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JGUE
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-KBOU
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-MLEP
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-MTON
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-NART
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-NDUP
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-OFAU
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-RGLU
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-EPHI
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-EZEM
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.3% | 97.0% | 87.0% | −2.7 | |
| 91.5% | 95.5% | 92.0% | −4.0 | |
| 89.5% | 89.0% | 90.0% | +0.5 | |
| 88.0% | 89.5% | 77.0% | −1.5 | |
| 88.0% | 88.0% | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 81.0% | 78.0% | 79.0% | +3.0 | |
| 65.0% | 62.5% | 67.0% | +2.5 | |
| 62.0% | 55.5% | 41.0% | +6.5 | |
| 55.0% | 45.5% | 47.0% | +9.5 | |
| 46.5% | 45.0% | 40.0% | +1.5 | |
| 32.5% | 37.5% | 37.0% | −5.0 | |
| 26.0% | 24.5% | 27.0% | +1.5 | |
| 24.5% | 32.5% | 29.0% | −8.0 | |
| 17.0% | 27.0% | 26.0% | −10.0 | |
| 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | +2.0 | |
| 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.0% | +2.2 | |
| 10.3% | 13.5% | 10.0% | −3.2 | |
| 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | +2.0 | |
| 5.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | −3.8 | |
| 4.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | −2.5 | |
| 2.5% | 6.0% | 50.0% | −3.5 | |
| 1.1% | 4.5% | 8.0% | −3.4 |
Polymarket only · 24Bally BagayokoCarole DelgaDavid LisnardDelphine BathoFrançois BayrouJean CastexJean-Michel FauvergueJuan Branco
Kalshi only · 1Jean Lassalle
Probability chart · Jean-Luc Mélenchon
loading history
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