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Updated 1s agoPolymarket53 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi48 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 10Kalshi only · 5
2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee
Updated 1s agoPolymarket53 catalog outcomesOpenDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Volume $1.29BLiquidity $77.84MEnds Nov 8
Kalshi48 catalog outcomesOpen2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Volume $232.50MOpen interest $156.28MEnds Nov 7
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
will-abigail-spanberger-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-adam-schiff-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-alex-padilla-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-653
will-andrew-yang-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-andy-beshear-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-832
will-barack-obama-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-265
will-bernie-sanders-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-879
will-beto-orourke-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-chelsea-clinton-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-chris-murphy-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-chris-van-hollen-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-corey-booker-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-125
will-dwayne-the-rock-johnson-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-elissa-slotkin-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568
will-george-clooney-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-gina-raimondo-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-676
will-graham-platner-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-gretchen-whitmer-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-676
will-hakeem-jeffries-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-hillary-clinton-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-person-a-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-jb-pritzker-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-288
will-james-talarico-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-jared-polis-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-837
will-jasmine-crockett-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-john-fetterman-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-941
will-jon-ossoff-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-885
will-jon-stewart-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-518
will-josh-shapiro-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-977
will-josh-stein-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-kamala-harris-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-641
will-kim-kardashian-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-lebron-james-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-liz-cheney-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-551
will-mark-cuban-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-329
will-mark-kelly-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-479
will-michelle-obama-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-777
will-mitch-landrieu-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-mrbeast-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-oprah-winfrey-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-pete-buttigieg-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-687
will-phil-murphy-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-611
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299
will-raphael-warnock-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-914
will-ro-khanna-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-roy-cooper-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-286
will-ruben-gallego-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
will-stephen-a-smith-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-914
will-tim-walz-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-475
will-wes-moore-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-714
will-zohran-mamdani-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-445
Kalshi
Market: KXPRESNOMD-28
KXPRESNOMD-28-AELS
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
KXPRESNOMD-28-AKLO
KXPRESNOMD-28-AYAN
KXPRESNOMD-28-AB
KXPRESNOMD-28-BOBA
KXPRESNOMD-28-BS
KXPRESNOMD-28-BORO
KXPRESNOMD-28-CMUR
KXPRESNOMD-28-CHOL
KXPRESNOMD-28-CBOO
KXPRESNOMD-28-DJOH
KXPRESNOMD-28-ESLO
KXPRESNOMD-28-EWAR
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
KXPRESNOMD-28-GR
KXPRESNOMD-28-GPLA
KXPRESNOMD-28-GW
KXPRESNOMD-28-HCLI
KXPRESNOMD-28-HBID
KXPRESNOMD-28-JBP
KXPRESNOMD-28-JTAL
KXPRESNOMD-28-JAM
KXPRESNOMD-28-JP
KXPRESNOMD-28-JCRO
KXPRESNOMD-28-JF
KXPRESNOMD-28-JOSS
KXPRESNOMD-28-JSTE
KXPRESNOMD-28-JS
KXPRESNOMD-28-KH
KXPRESNOMD-28-LJAM
KXPRESNOMD-28-LC
KXPRESNOMD-28-MC
KXPRESNOMD-28-MK
KXPRESNOMD-28-MO
KXPRESNOMD-28-MLAN
KXPRESNOMD-28-PB
KXPRESNOMD-28-PHI
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
KXPRESNOMD-28-RW
KXPRESNOMD-28-RKHA
KXPRESNOMD-28-RC
KXPRESNOMD-28-RGAL
KXPRESNOMD-28-SFAI
KXPRESNOMD-28-SAS
KXPRESNOMD-28-TW
KXPRESNOMD-28-WM
KXPRESNOMD-28-ZMAM
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | +4.4 | |
| 15.6% | 13.5% | 14.0% | +2.1 | |
| 14.9% | 16.5% | 17.0% | −1.6 | |
| 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | −1.3 | |
| 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | +1.3 | |
| 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0 | |
| 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | −2.5 | |
| 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | −1.6 | |
| 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | −0.2 | |
| 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | −1.2 | |
| 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | −0.3 | |
| 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | −0.8 | |
| 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | +0.9 | |
| 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | +0.9 | |
| 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | +0.5 | |
| 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | +0.3 | |
| 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | −0.1 | |
| 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | −0.3 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | −0.2 | |
| 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | −0.1 | |
| 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | −1.5 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.4 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | −0.3 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.4 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | −0.3 | |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | −0.2 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | −0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | −0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Polymarket only · 10Abigail SpanbergerAdam SchiffAlex PadillaChelsea ClintonGeorge ClooneyHakeem JeffriesJosh SteinKim Kardashian
Kalshi only · 5Abdul El-SayedAmy KlobucharElizabeth WarrenJamie DimonShawn Fain
Probability chart · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
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