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Updated 1s agoPolymarket54 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi31 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 26Kalshi only · 3
2028 US Presidential General Election
Updated 1s agoPolymarket54 catalog outcomesOpenPresidential Election Winner 2028
Volume $713.22MLiquidity $60.35MEnds Nov 8
Kalshi31 catalog outcomesOpen2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Volume $71.13MOpen interest $50.04MEnds Nov 7
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: presidential-election-winner-2028
will-abigail-spanberger-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-adam-schiff-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-alex-padilla-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-andy-beshear-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-candace-owens-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-donald-trump-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-doug-burgum-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-dwayne-the-rock-johnson-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-elissa-slotkin-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-elon-musk-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-eric-trump-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-glenn-youngkin-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-greg-abbott-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-gretchen-whitmer-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-hakeem-jeffries-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-ivanka-trump-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-jalen-brunson-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-james-talarico-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-jamie-dimon-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-jb-pritzker-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-jd-vance-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-john-n-kennedy-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-jon-ossoff-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-josh-shapiro-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-josh-stein-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-kamala-harris-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-kim-kardashian-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-lebron-james-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-person-ad-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-michelle-obama-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-mike-johnson-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-nikki-haley-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-pete-buttigieg-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-pete-hegseth-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-person-ae-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-rick-scott-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-ro-khanna-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-ron-desantis-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-stephen-smith-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-ted-cruz-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-thomas-massie-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-tim-scott-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-tim-walz-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-tom-cotton-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-tucker-carlson-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-tulsi-gabbard-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-vivek-ramaswamy-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-wes-moore-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
will-zohran-mamdani-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
Kalshi
Market: KXPRESPERSON-28
KXPRESPERSON-28-AOCA
KXPRESPERSON-28-ABES
KXPRESPERSON-28-DTRU
KXPRESPERSON-28-DTRUJR
KXPRESPERSON-28-GNEWS
KXPRESPERSON-28-GYOU
KXPRESPERSON-28-GABB
KXPRESPERSON-28-GWHI
KXPRESPERSON-28-HBID
KXPRESPERSON-28-JPRI
KXPRESPERSON-28-JVAN
KXPRESPERSON-28-JTAL
KXPRESPERSON-28-JDIM
KXPRESPERSON-28-JOSS
KXPRESPERSON-28-JSHA
KXPRESPERSON-28-KHAR
KXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB
KXPRESPERSON-28-MKEL
KXPRESPERSON-28-NHAL
KXPRESPERSON-28-PBUT
KXPRESPERSON-28-REMA
KXPRESPERSON-28-RKHA
KXPRESPERSON-28-RDES
KXPRESPERSON-28-SSMI
KXPRESPERSON-28-TCRU
KXPRESPERSON-28-TMAS
KXPRESPERSON-28-TWAL
KXPRESPERSON-28-TCAR
KXPRESPERSON-28-TGAB
KXPRESPERSON-28-VRAM
KXPRESPERSON-28-WMOO
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | +5.3 | |
| 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | −1.0 | |
| 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | +0.8 | |
| 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | −0.4 | |
| 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | +0.3 | |
| 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | +0.3 | |
| 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | −0.2 | |
| 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | +0.7 | |
| 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | −1.8 | |
| 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | −1.3 | |
| 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | −0.1 | |
| 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | −1.5 | |
| 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | −1.5 | |
| 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | −0.3 | |
| 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | −0.9 | |
| 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | −0.1 | |
| 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | −0.8 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | −0.2 | |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | −0.2 | |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | −0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | −0.4 | |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | −0.2 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | −0.3 | |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | −0.1 |
Polymarket only · 26Abigail SpanbergerAdam SchiffAlex PadillaCandace OwensDoug BurgumDwayne 'The Rock' JohnsonElissa SlotkinElon Musk
Kalshi only · 3Hunter BidenJ.B. PritzkerJ.D. Vance
Probability chart · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
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