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Updated 1s agoPolymarket43 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi39 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 9Kalshi only · 5
2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee
Updated 1s agoPolymarket43 catalog outcomesOpenRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Volume $709.75MLiquidity $52.24MEnds Nov 8
Kalshi39 catalog outcomesOpen2028 Republican presidential nominee
Volume $68.46MOpen interest $45.76MEnds Nov 7
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: republican-presidential-nominee-2028
will-brian-kemp-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-byron-donalds-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-candace-owens-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-donald-trump-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-doug-burgum-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-elise-stefanik-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-elon-musk-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-eric-trump-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-erika-kirk-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-glenn-youngkin-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-greg-abbott-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-ivanka-trump-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-jd-vance-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-joe-kent-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-john-n-kennedy-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-john-thune-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-josh-hawley-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-katie-britt-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-kim-kardashian-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-kristi-noem-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-marjorie-taylor-greene-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-matt-gaetz-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-mike-johnson-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-mike-pence-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-nikki-haley-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-pete-hegseth-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-rand-paul-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-rick-scott-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination-626
will-ron-desantis-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-sarah-huckabee-sanders-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-steve-bannon-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-ted-cruz-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-thomas-massie-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-tim-scott-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-tom-brady-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-tom-cotton-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-tucker-carlson-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-tulsi-gabbard-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
will-vivek-ramaswamy-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
Kalshi
Market: KXPRESNOMR-28
KXPRESNOMR-28-BK
KXPRESNOMR-28-BD
KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE
KXPRESNOMR-28-CCHR
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
KXPRESNOMR-28-ES
KXPRESNOMR-28-EM
KXPRESNOMR-28-ETRU
KXPRESNOMR-28-EKIR
KXPRESNOMR-28-GY
KXPRESNOMR-28-GA
KXPRESNOMR-28-ITRU
KXPRESNOMR-28-JDV
KXPRESNOMR-28-JBZ
KXPRESNOMR-28-JT
KXPRESNOMR-28-JH
KXPRESNOMR-28-KB
KXPRESNOMR-28-KNOE
KXPRESNOMR-28-LTRU
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
KXPRESNOMR-28-MTG
KXPRESNOMR-28-MG
KXPRESNOMR-28-MPEN
KXPRESNOMR-28-NMIN
KXPRESNOMR-28-NH
KXPRESNOMR-28-PHEG
KXPRESNOMR-28-RPAU
KXPRESNOMR-28-RFK
KXPRESNOMR-28-RDS
KXPRESNOMR-28-SHS
KXPRESNOMR-28-SPRA
KXPRESNOMR-28-STE
KXPRESNOMR-28-TC
KXPRESNOMR-28-TMAS
KXPRESNOMR-28-TCOT
KXPRESNOMR-28-TCAR
KXPRESNOMR-28-TG
KXPRESNOMR-28-VR
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.2% | 43.5% | 44.0% | +6.7 | |
| 15.3% | 17.5% | 18.0% | −2.1 | |
| 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | +0.3 | |
| 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | −1.4 | |
| 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | +0.3 | |
| 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | −0.1 | |
| 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | −1.1 | |
| 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | −0.4 | |
| 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | −0.3 | |
| 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | +0.2 | |
| 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | +0.2 | |
| 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | −1.0 | |
| 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | −0.6 | |
| 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | −0.4 | |
| 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | −0.4 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | −0.1 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | −0.3 | |
| 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | −0.4 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | −0.2 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | −0.2 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | −0.3 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | +0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | −0.2 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | −0.4 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | −0.2 | |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | −0.2 | |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | −0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | −0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | −0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | −0.5 |
Polymarket only · 9Doug BurgumJoe KentJohn N. KennedyKim KardashianMike JohnsonRick ScottRobert F. Kennedy Jr.Tim Scott
Kalshi only · 5Chris ChristieJeff BezosLara TrumpNicki MinajSpencer Pratt
Probability chart · J.D. Vance
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