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Updated 1s agoPolymarket15 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi9 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 8Kalshi only · 2
Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket15 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $51.9KLiquidity $218.4KEnds Jun 7
Kalshi9 catalog outcomesOpenAguascalientes Governor winner?
Volume $2.2KOpen interest $1.6KEnds Jun 6
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: aguascalientes-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
will-aldo-ruiz-sanchez-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849656
will-ana-gomez-calzada-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849655
will-anayeli-munoz-moreno-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849658
will-antonio-martin-del-campo-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849648
will-arturo-avila-anaya-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849651
will-genny-janeth-lopez-valenzuela-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849653
will-humberto-ambriz-delgadillo-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849660
will-karla-arely-espinoza-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849659
will-kendor-macias-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849661
will-leonardo-montanez-castro-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849649
will-leticia-olivares-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849662
will-lorena-martinez-rodriguez-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849657
will-nora-ruvalcaba-gamez-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849650
will-ricardo-rodriguez-vargas-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849654
will-salma-luevano-luna-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849652
Kalshi
Market: KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06
KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06-AMUN
KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06-HAMB
KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06-AARA
KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06-KMAC
KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06-LMON
KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06-LOLI
KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06-LMAR
KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06-NRUV
KXAGUASCALIENTESGOV-27JUN06-TMDC
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.0% | 12.5% | 22.0% | +18.5 | |
| 24.5% | 20.0% | 20.0% | +4.5 | |
| 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | −0.6 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | −1.4 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | −1.4 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | −1.4 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | −1.4 |
Polymarket only · 8Aldo Ruiz SánchezAna Gómez CalzadaArturo Ávila AnayaGenny Janeth López ValenzuelaKarla Arely EspinozaLeonardo Montañez CastroRicardo Rodríguez VargasSalma Luévano Luna
Kalshi only · 2José Antonio Arámbula LópezLeo Montañez
Probability chart · Antonio Martín del Campo
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