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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AL-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAL-01 House Election Winner
Volume $48.5KLiquidity $33.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.5KOpen interest $755Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: al-01-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-al-01-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-al-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AL01-26
KXHOUSERACE-AL01-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-AL01-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.0% | 94.8% | 97.6% | +1.2 | |
| 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | −1.9 |
Probability chart · Jerry Carl (R)
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