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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AL-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAL-03 House Election Winner
Volume $44.5KLiquidity $41.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $15.1KOpen interest $4.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: al-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-al-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-al-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AL03-26
KXHOUSERACE-AL03-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-AL03-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.5% | 98.0% | 98.3% | −0.4 | |
| 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | −0.9 |
Probability chart · Mike Rogers (R)
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