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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AL-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAL-04 House Election Winner
Volume $38.5KLiquidity $39.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.7KOpen interest $1.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: al-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-al-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-al-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AL04-26
KXHOUSERACE-AL04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-AL04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99.0% | 96.8% | 98.9% | +2.2 | |
| 0.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | −1.8 |
Probability chart · Robert Aderholt (R)
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