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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AL-05 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAL-05 House Election Winner
Volume $67.4KLiquidity $88.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $5.0KOpen interest $3.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: al-05-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-al-05-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-al-05-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AL05-26
KXHOUSERACE-AL05-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-AL05-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 92.7% | 91.4% | +2.8 | |
| 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | −2.0 |
Probability chart · Dale Strong (R)
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