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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AL-06 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAL-06 House Election Winner
Volume $26.3KLiquidity $46.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.2KOpen interest $1.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: al-06-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-al-06-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-al-06-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AL06-26
KXHOUSERACE-AL06-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-AL06-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.7% | 97.0% | 97.5% | −0.3 | |
| 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | +1.5 |
Probability chart · Gary Palmer (R)
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