Same question, two venues, the gap. No trading.

934 clusters · 11111 listed outcomes

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Updated 1s ago

Polymarket22 catalog outcomesOpen

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Volume $1.40MLiquidity $1.18MEnds Nov 4

Kalshi16 catalog outcomesOpen

Alaska Governor winner?

Volume $707.9KOpen interest $315.4KEnds Nov 3

Polymarket ↗

Kalshi ↗

Market and outcome ids

Polymarket

Market: alaska-governor-election-winner

will-adam-crum-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-bernadette-wilson-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-candidate-i-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-bruce-walden-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-click-bishop-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-david-bronson-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-destry-j-payne-sr-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-edna-devries-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-gregg-brelsford-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-hank-kroll-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-james-parkin-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-jessica-faircloth-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-jonathan-kreiss-tomkins-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-lesil-mcguire-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-lisa-murkowski-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-mary-peltola-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-matt-claman-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-matt-heilala-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-nancy-dahlstrom-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-shelley-hughes-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-tom-begich-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

will-treg-taylor-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election

Kalshi

Market: KXGOVAK-26

KXGOVAK-26-ACRU

KXGOVAK-26-BWIL

KXGOVAK-26-BWAL

KXGOVAK-26-CBIS

KXGOVAK-26-DBRO

KXGOVAK-26-EDEV

KXGOVAK-26-JKRE

KXGOVAK-26-LCMG

KXGOVAK-26-LMUR

KXGOVAK-26-MPEL

KXGOVAK-26-MHEI

KXGOVAK-26-MCLA

KXGOVAK-26-NDAH

KXGOVAK-26-SHUG

KXGOVAK-26-TBEG

KXGOVAK-26-TTAY

Compared outcomes

Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.

Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.

Polymarket	Mid	Last	Gap
74.5%	73.5%	74.0%	+1.0
21.0%	21.0%	20.0%	0.0
1.1%	0.7%	0.5%	+0.4
0.3%	1.4%	1.4%	−1.2
0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	+0.1
0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	+0.1
0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	+0.1
0.1%	0.5%	2.0%	−0.4
0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	+0.1
0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	+0.1
0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	−0.1
0.1%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.5
0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	−0.1
0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0

Polymarket only · 8

Bruce WaldenDavid BronsonDestry J. Payne Sr.Gregg BrelsfordHank KrollJames ParkinJessica FairclothMatt Claman

Kalshi only · 2

Dave BronsonMatthew Claman

Probability chart · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

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