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Updated 1s agoPolymarket4 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1
Alaska House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket4 catalog outcomesOpenAK-AL House Election Winner
Volume $57.8KLiquidity $114.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $66.9KOpen interest $27.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ak-al-house-election-winner
will-a-win-the-ak-al-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ak-al-house-seat
will-b-win-the-ak-al-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ak-al-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSEAKAL-26
HOUSEAKAL-26-BHIL
HOUSEAKAL-26-D
HOUSEAKAL-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84.5% | 85.5% | 85.0% | −1.0 | |
| 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | −0.3 | |
| 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | +0.5 |
Polymarket only · 1Jim McDermott
Probability chart · Republican Party
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