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Updated 1s agoPolymarket7 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi7 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket7 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $42.7KLiquidity $96.0KEnds Oct 5
Kalshi7 catalog outcomesOpenAmazonas Governor winner?
Volume $39.7KOpen interest $26.9KEnds Oct 4
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: amazonas-governor-election-winner
will-cabo-daciolo-win-the-2026-amazonas-gubernatorial-election
will-david-almeida-win-the-2026-amazonas-gubernatorial-election
will-gilberto-vasconcelos-win-the-2026-amazonas-gubernatorial-election
will-isael-munduruku-win-the-2026-amazonas-gubernatorial-election
will-omar-aziz-win-the-2026-amazonas-gubernatorial-election
will-professora-maria-do-carmo-win-the-2026-amazonas-gubernatorial-election
will-roberto-cidade-win-the-2026-amazonas-gubernatorial-election
Kalshi
Market: KXAMAZONASGOV-26OCT04
KXAMAZONASGOV-26OCT04-CDAC
KXAMAZONASGOV-26OCT04-DALM
KXAMAZONASGOV-26OCT04-GVAS
KXAMAZONASGOV-26OCT04-IMUN
KXAMAZONASGOV-26OCT04-OAZI
KXAMAZONASGOV-26OCT04-MCAR
KXAMAZONASGOV-26OCT04-RCID
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79.0% | 77.0% | 80.0% | +2.0 | |
| 17.0% | 19.5% | 21.0% | −2.5 | |
| 6.5% | 50.0% | 11.0% | −43.5 | |
| 0.1% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −49.9 | |
| 0.1% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.1% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.1% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 |
Probability chart · Omar Aziz
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