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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AR-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAR-01 House Election Winner
Volume $27.1KLiquidity $41.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $22.1KOpen interest $11.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ar-01-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ar-01-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ar-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26
KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.0% | 95.3% | 94.7% | +1.7 | |
| 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | −1.0 |
Probability chart · Rick Crawford (R)
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