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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AR-02 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAR-02 House Election Winner
Volume $28.4KLiquidity $78.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $13.5KOpen interest $9.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ar-02-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ar-02-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ar-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26
KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.0% | 83.5% | 84.0% | −1.5 | |
| 18.0% | 16.5% | 16.0% | +1.5 |
Probability chart · French Hill (R)
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