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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 1
Arkansas Governor winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenArkansas Governor Election Winner
Volume $11.0KLiquidity $62.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.6KOpen interest $4.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: arkansas-governor-winner-2026
will-the-democrats-win-the-arkansas-governor-race-in-2026
will-the-republicans-win-the-arkansas-governor-race-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: GOVPARTYAR-26
GOVPARTYAR-26-D
GOVPARTYAR-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.8% | 95.9% | 98.2% | +0.9 |
Polymarket only · 1Fredrick Love (D)
Kalshi only · 1Fred Love
Probability chart · Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)
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