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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Arkansas Senate winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenArkansas Senate Election Winner
Volume $34.6KLiquidity $142.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $190.2KOpen interest $151.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: arkansas-senate-election-winner
will-the-democrats-win-the-arkansas-senate-race-in-2026
will-the-republicans-win-the-arkansas-senate-race-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: SENATEAR-26
SENATEAR-26-D
SENATEAR-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.6% | 93.5% | 93.4% | +0.1 | |
| 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | −0.4 |
Probability chart · Tom Cotton (R)
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