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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AZ-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAZ-03 House Election Winner
Volume $53.0KLiquidity $60.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $535Open interest $518Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: az-03-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-az-03-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-az-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AZ03-26
KXHOUSERACE-AZ03-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-AZ03-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.9% | 98.5% | 96.7% | +0.4 | |
| 0.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | −1.4 |
Probability chart · Yassamin Ansari (D)
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