← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AZ-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAZ-04 House Election Winner
Volume $40.1KLiquidity $38.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $11.0KOpen interest $5.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: az-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-az-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-az-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AZ04-26
KXHOUSERACE-AZ04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-AZ04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.4% | 96.6% | 97.6% | +0.8 | |
| 0.7% | 2.4% | 7.6% | −1.8 |
Probability chart · Greg Stanton (D)
loading history
No history to chart yet