← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AZ-05 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAZ-05 House Election Winner
Volume $38.4KLiquidity $80.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $22.5KOpen interest $5.6KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: az-05-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-az-05-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-az-05-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AZ05-26
KXHOUSERACE-AZ05-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-AZ05-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.0% | 91.0% | 90.0% | 0.0 | |
| 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | −1.3 |
Probability chart · Mark Lamb (R)
loading history
No history to chart yet