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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
AZ-07 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAZ-07 House Election Winner
Volume $39.2KLiquidity $41.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.0KOpen interest $876Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: az-07-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-az-07-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-az-07-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AZ07-26
KXHOUSERACE-AZ07-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-AZ07-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.7% | 97.6% | 95.5% | −1.9 | |
| 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | −1.5 |
Probability chart · Adelita Grijalva (D)
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