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Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $18.32MLiquidity $6.46MEnds Nov 4
Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpen2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Volume $30.13MOpen interest $21.92MEnds Feb 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: balance-of-power-2026-midterms
2026-balance-of-power-d-senate-r-house-692
2026-balance-of-power-d-senate-d-house-949
2026-balance-of-power-other-131
2026-balance-of-power-r-senate-d-house-444
2026-balance-of-power-r-senate-r-house-537
Kalshi
Market: KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB
KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DR
KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DD
KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-RD
KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-RR
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65.5% | 64.5% | 65.0% | +1.0 | |
| 26.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | +25.6 | |
| 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | −0.9 | |
| 1.1% | 28.5% | 29.0% | −27.4 |
Polymarket only · 1Other
Probability chart · Democrats Sweep
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