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Updated 1s agoPolymarket1 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi1 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Blue wave in 2026?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket1 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $79.6KLiquidity $29.8KEnds Jan 5
Kalshi1 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $949.9KOpen interest $577.6KEnds Feb 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: blue-wave-in-2026
blue-wave-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: KXBLUEWAVECOMBO-27FEB
KXBLUEWAVECOMBO-27FEB
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84.5% | 85.5% | 86.0% | −1.0 |
Probability chart · Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
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