← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket18 catalog outcomesClosed Kalshi14 catalog outcomesClosed Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 5Kalshi only · 1
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Updated 1s agoPolymarket18 catalog outcomesClosedVolume $10.94MLiquidity —Ends Oct 5
Kalshi14 catalog outcomesClosedVolume $196.3KOpen interest $88.1KEnds Oct 5
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place
will-aldo-rebelo-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-augusto-cury-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-camilo-santana-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-eduardo-bolsonaro-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-eduardo-leite-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-fernando-haddad-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-flvio-bolsonaro-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-geraldo-alckmin-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-helder-barbalho-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-jair-bolsonaro-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-michelle-bolsonaro-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-carlos-roberto-massa-jnior-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-renan-santos-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-romeu-zema-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-ronaldo-caiado-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-tarcisio-de-freitas-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-tereza-cristina-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
Kalshi
Market: KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-AREB
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-ACUR
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-CGOM
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-EBOL
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-FHAD
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-FBOL
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-JBOL
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-LSIL
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-MBOL
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-RJUN
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-RSAN
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-RZEM
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-RCAI
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-TFRE
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 50.0% | 99.0% | +50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 13.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | −50.0 |
Polymarket only · 5Camilo SantanaEduardo LeiteGeraldo AlckminHelder BarbalhoTereza Cristina
Kalshi only · 1Ciro Gomes
Probability chart · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
loading history
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