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Updated 1s agoPolymarket13 catalog outcomesClosed Kalshi13 catalog outcomesClosed Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 1
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
Updated 1s agoPolymarket13 catalog outcomesClosedVolume $43.6KLiquidity —Ends Oct 4
Kalshi13 catalog outcomesClosedBrazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)
Volume $66.3KOpen interest $36.3KEnds Oct 5
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: brazil-presidential-election-first-round-4th-place
will-augusto-cury-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-clariana-barao-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-edmilson-costa-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-flavio-bolsonaro-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-hertz-dias-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-lula-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-pablo-marcal-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-renan-santos-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-ronaldo-caiado-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-rui-costa-pimenta-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-samara-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-veterinario-wilson-grassi-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
will-zema-finish-in-fourth-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
Kalshi
Market: KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-ACUR
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-CBAR
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-ECOS
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-FBOL
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-HDIA
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-LSIL
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-PMAR
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-RSAN
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-RZEM
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-RCAI
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-RPIM
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-SAMA
KXBRPRESIDENT4-BRPRES26-4-WGRA
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 50.0% | 98.0% | +50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 4.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 3.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 24.0% | −50.0 |
Polymarket only · 1Lula
Kalshi only · 1Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Probability chart · Renan Santos
loading history
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