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Updated 1s agoPolymarket13 catalog outcomesClosed Kalshi8 catalog outcomesClosed Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 8Kalshi only · 3
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket13 catalog outcomesClosedVolume $6.10MLiquidity —Ends Oct 5
Kalshi8 catalog outcomesClosedVolume $1.32MOpen interest $590.0KEnds Oct 5
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: brazil-presidential-election-first-round-winner
will-clariana-barao-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-edmilson-costa-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-escritor-augusto-cury-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-hertz-dias-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-lula-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-pablo-marcal-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-renan-santos-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-ronaldo-caiado-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-rui-costa-pimenta-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-samara-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-veterinario-wilson-grassi-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
will-zema-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election
Kalshi
Market: KXBRPRES1R-26OCT04
KXBRPRES1R-26OCT04-ACUR
KXBRPRES1R-26OCT04-FHAD
KXBRPRES1R-26OCT04-FBOL
KXBRPRES1R-26OCT04-LSIL
KXBRPRES1R-26OCT04-RSAN
KXBRPRES1R-26OCT04-RZEM
KXBRPRES1R-26OCT04-RCAI
KXBRPRES1R-26OCT04-TFRE
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 50.0% | 99.8% | +50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.1% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.1% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.1% | −50.0 |
Polymarket only · 8Clariana BaraoEdmilson CostaHertz DiasLulaPablo MarçalRui Costa PimentaSamaraVeterinário Wilson Grassi
Kalshi only · 3Fernando HaddadLuiz Inácio Lula da SilvaTarcísio de Freitas
Probability chart · Flavio Bolsonaro
loading history
No history to chart yet