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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-03 House Election Winner
Volume $43.7KLiquidity $65.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $21.5KOpen interest $11.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSECA3-26
HOUSECA3-26-D
HOUSECA3-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 96.0% | 97.0% | −0.5 | |
| 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | +1.0 |
Probability chart · Ami Bera (D)
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