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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-05 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-05 House Election Winner
Volume $18.2KLiquidity $71.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $20.0KOpen interest $8.2KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-05-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-05-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-05-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA05-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA05-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-CA05-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.0% | 91.7% | 95.1% | −0.7 | |
| 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | −0.1 |
Probability chart · Tom McClintock (R)
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