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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $21.6KLiquidity $61.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-07 House winner?
Volume $44.8KOpen interest $25.6KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-07-house-election-winner-by-individual-20260706153650362
will-doris-matsui-win-the-ca-07-house-seat-20260706153655919
will-mai-vang-win-the-ca-07-house-seat-20260706153655920
Kalshi
Market: KXCAELECTION-2607
KXCAELECTION-2607-DMAT
KXCAELECTION-2607-MVAN
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.0% | 57.0% | 58.0% | +1.0 | |
| 41.5% | 44.5% | 45.0% | −3.0 |
Probability chart · Doris Matsui
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