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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-10 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-10 House Election Winner
Volume $26.6KLiquidity $34.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.2KOpen interest $646Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-10-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-10-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-10-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA10-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA10-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA10-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.8% | 96.6% | 96.0% | −0.8 | |
| 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | +1.0 |
Probability chart · Mark DeSaulnier (D)
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