← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $5.7KLiquidity $54.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-12 House winner?
Volume $7.3KOpen interest $4.2KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-12-house-election-winner-individual-20260710020058719
will-jamie-joyce-win-the-ca-12-house-seat-20260708143309449
will-lateefah-simon-win-the-ca-12-house-seat-20260708143309450
Kalshi
Market: KXCAELECTION-2612
KXCAELECTION-2612-JJOY
KXCAELECTION-2612-LSIM
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.5% | 95.5% | 94.0% | −1.0 | |
| 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | −1.2 |
Probability chart · Lateefah Simon
loading history
No history to chart yet