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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi7 catalog outcomesClosed Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 5
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $24.0KLiquidity $48.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi7 catalog outcomesClosedCA-14 special election winner
Volume $286.6KOpen interest $146.7KEnds Aug 20
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-14-house-election-winner-individual-20260710020305940
will-aisha-wahab-win-the-ca-14-house-seat-20260708143509237
will-melissa-hernandez-win-the-ca-14-house-seat-20260708143509236
Kalshi
Market: KXCA14SWINNER-26
KXCA14SWINNER-26-AWAH
KXCA14SWINNER-26-CELA
KXCA14SWINNER-26-MORT
KXCA14SWINNER-26-MHER
KXCA14SWINNER-26-RSIN
KXCA14SWINNER-26-VAGU
KXCA14SWINNER-26-WHUA
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.5% | 50.0% | 99.0% | +32.5 | |
| 17.5% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −32.5 |
Kalshi only · 5Carin ElamMatt OrtegaRakhi Israni SinghVictor Aguilar Jr.Wendy Huang
Probability chart · Aisha Wahab
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