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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-16 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-16 House Election Winner
Volume $107.7KLiquidity $52.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $10.1KOpen interest $4.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-16-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-16-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-16-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA16-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA16-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA16-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.6% | 97.5% | 95.2% | −0.9 | |
| 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | −0.7 |
Probability chart · Sam Liccardo (D)
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