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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-19 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-19 House Election Winner
Volume $50.1KLiquidity $38.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $5.9KOpen interest $3.2KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-19-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-19-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-19-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA19-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA19-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-CA19-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.9% | 98.8% | 98.0% | −0.9 | |
| 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | −0.4 |
Probability chart · Jimmy Panetta (D)
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