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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-20 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-20 House Election Winner
Volume $49.8KLiquidity $38.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $5.0KOpen interest $2.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-20-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-20-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-20-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA20-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA20-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-CA20-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.0% | 96.7% | 96.5% | +0.3 | |
| 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | −0.2 |
Probability chart · Vince Fong (R)
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