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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-22 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-22 House Election Winner
Volume $26.0KLiquidity $76.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $115.7KOpen interest $65.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-party-will-win-the-house-race-for-the-ca-22-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-22-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-22-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSECA22-26
HOUSECA22-26-R
HOUSECA22-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.0% | 91.3% | 91.6% | +1.7 | |
| 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | −2.5 |
Probability chart · Randy Villegas (D)
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