← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-25 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-25 House Election Winner
Volume $26.4KLiquidity $39.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.4KOpen interest $1.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-25-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-25-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-25-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA25-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA25-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA25-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.0% | 94.7% | 98.1% | +1.3 | |
| 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | −0.4 |
Probability chart · Raul Ruiz (D)
loading history
No history to chart yet