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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-26 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-26 House Election Winner
Volume $36.2KLiquidity $62.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $882Open interest $876Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-26-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-26-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-26-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA26-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA26-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-CA26-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 95.4% | 97.0% | +0.1 | |
| 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | +0.2 |
Probability chart · Jacqui Irwin (D)
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