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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $5.4KLiquidity $32.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-29 House winner?
Volume $13.5KOpen interest $4.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-29-house-election-winner-individual-20260710020355243
will-angelica-maria-duenas-win-the-ca-29-house-seat-20260708143800295
will-luz-rivas-win-the-ca-29-house-seat-20260708143800296
Kalshi
Market: KXCAELECTION-2629
KXCAELECTION-2629-ADUE
KXCAELECTION-2629-LRIV
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89.5% | 91.0% | 88.0% | −1.5 | |
| 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | −2.5 |
Probability chart · Luz Rivas
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