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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-32 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-32 House Election Winner
Volume $28.6KLiquidity $37.7KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.3KOpen interest $2.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-32-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-32-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-32-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA32-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA32-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-CA32-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.9% | 96.5% | 98.6% | −0.7 | |
| 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | −0.8 |
Probability chart · Brad Sherman (D)
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