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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $20.6KLiquidity $39.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-34 House winner?
Volume $49.3KOpen interest $13.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-34-house-election-winner-individual-20260710020736883
will-angela-gonzales-torres-win-the-ca-34-house-seat-20260708144200161
will-jimmy-gomez-win-the-ca-34-house-seat-20260708144200160
Kalshi
Market: KXCAELECTION-2634
KXCAELECTION-2634-AGON
KXCAELECTION-2634-JGOM
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77.5% | 77.0% | 76.0% | +0.5 | |
| 20.5% | 21.0% | 20.0% | −0.5 |
Probability chart · Angela Gonzales-Torres
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