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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-35 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-35 House Election Winner
Volume $46.0KLiquidity $39.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $827Open interest $824Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-35-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-35-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-35-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA35-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA35-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA35-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.0% | 98.9% | 94.9% | −0.9 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | −1.4 |
Probability chart · Norma Torres (D)
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