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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-36 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-36 House Election Winner
Volume $85.9KLiquidity $47.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $4.9KOpen interest $1.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-36-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-36-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-36-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA36-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA36-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA36-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.0% | 96.4% | 94.0% | +0.6 | |
| 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | −0.6 |
Probability chart · Ted Lieu (D)
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