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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-38 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-38 House Election Winner
Volume $65.6KLiquidity $42.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.4KOpen interest $2.2KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-38-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-38-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-38-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA38-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA38-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-CA38-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.0% | 97.0% | 99.3% | +1.1 | |
| 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | −1.6 |
Probability chart · Hilda Solis (D)
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