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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-43 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-43 House Election Winner
Volume $32.7KLiquidity $45.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.0KOpen interest $1.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-43-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-43-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-43-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA43-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA43-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA43-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | 97.8% | 96.5% | −2.9 | |
| 2.9% | 2.3% | 6.5% | +0.6 |
Probability chart · Maxine Waters (D)
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