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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-44 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-44 House Election Winner
Volume $47.1KLiquidity $34.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $807Open interest $755Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-44-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-44-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-44-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA44-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA44-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA44-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.0% | 97.2% | 94.0% | −0.2 | |
| 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | −1.0 |
Probability chart · Nanette Barragán (D)
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