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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-45 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-45 House Election Winner
Volume $43.0KLiquidity $44.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $94.1KOpen interest $69.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-45-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-45-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-45-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSECA45-26
HOUSECA45-26-R
HOUSECA45-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.5% | 92.8% | 93.6% | +1.7 | |
| 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | −1.7 |
Probability chart · Derek Tran (D)
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